Module dreams (was module shortage rumors) [RE-wrenches]

Allan Sindelar allan at positiveenergysolar.com
Thu May 13 09:06:30 PDT 2004


 

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----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Joel Davidson" <joeldavidson at earthlink.net>

Thanks for confirming that customer demand and PV manufacturing are up but
lower cell and module prices major manufacturers are not happening exactly
as promised. Economies of scale were supposed to kick in at 10 or 20
MW/year production. With the PV industry is approaching 1,000MW/year and
three companies sell over 50MW/year, when do you think you will be able to
sell PV modules at $1.50/W STC and install PV systems at $3/W STC without
subsidies?

Joel,
Being only a Wrench and not an economist, I would only venture: when global
demand drops in relation to production. Barring some apocalypse, I don't see
that happening in the forseeable future.
Allan @+E

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