FW: Globalization of electricity [RE-wrenches]

[Eric Smiley]

>Forecasts are that in the year 2000, energy demands will be the
equivalent of
>14 billion barrels of crude oil per year. To meet this requirement, 800
km
>square of solar cells would be needed, assuming a conversion efficiency
of
>10%.

Wow, 800 km square of solar cells! Installing 800 million 100 watt PV
modules (or 80 000 MW of PV) will keep a lot of wrenches busy.

But I had to ask myself, "Is it feasible?"

Well, if we assume the growth in PV manufacturing continues at 30% per
year. It will only take about 17 or 18 years to reach 80 GW of installed
PV. A tad optimistic perhaps?

If we assume only 10% growth, it still takes less than 40 years.
And 5% growth gives us less than 70 years.
And 3% still gives less than 90 years.

I hope my math is correct

Thanks Joel,maybe we can change the world.


----------------------------------------------------------------------
Eric Smiley
Project Leader - BCIT Technology Centre
NE25-3700 Willingdon Ave. Burnaby, BC V5G 3H2
ph: (604)432-8657  esmiley at bcit.ca  www.tc.bcit.ca

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