FW: Globalization of electricity [RE-wrenches]
Joel Davidson
joeldavidson at earthlink.net
Thu Oct 18 17:53:31 PDT 2001
Maybe we can change the world?
Not maybe.
When we install PV, we are changing the world for the better!
Eric Smiley wrote:
> >Forecasts are that in the year 2000, energy demands will be the
> equivalent of
> >14 billion barrels of crude oil per year. To meet this requirement, 800
> km
> >square of solar cells would be needed, assuming a conversion efficiency
> of
> >10%.
>
> Wow, 800 km square of solar cells! Installing 800 million 100 watt PV
> modules (or 80 000 MW of PV) will keep a lot of wrenches busy.
>
> But I had to ask myself, "Is it feasible?"
>
> Well, if we assume the growth in PV manufacturing continues at 30% per
> year. It will only take about 17 or 18 years to reach 80 GW of installed
> PV. A tad optimistic perhaps?
>
> If we assume only 10% growth, it still takes less than 40 years.
> And 5% growth gives us less than 70 years.
> And 3% still gives less than 90 years.
>
> I hope my math is correct
>
> Thanks Joel,maybe we can change the world.
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
> Eric Smiley
> Project Leader - BCIT Technology Centre
> NE25-3700 Willingdon Ave. Burnaby, BC V5G 3H2
> ph: (604)432-8657 esmiley at bcit.ca www.tc.bcit.ca
>
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